NCAA Tournament March Madness

#57 Boise St

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Projection: likely out

Boise State looks like an outside candidate because its résumé is defined by a handful of noteworthy road and neutral moments surrounded by damaging defeats. The program has picked up a neutral win over St. Mary’s and a true road victory at Butler and it has beaten New Mexico and Nevada in meaningful spots, which tells a committee it can win quality games away from home. Those positives are offset by heavy losses at Utah State and at San Diego State and by poor showings against Grand Canyon and UNLV that expose inconsistency and trouble handling hostile environments. Add neutral losses to USC and NC State and the top end of the profile loses punch, while a remaining slate that includes trips to Utah State, Fresno State and Colorado State plus home dates with San Diego State, Wyoming and San Jose State give Boise State clear chances to repair the résumé. Unless those opportunities are seized and the bad road results stop piling up, the mix of sporadic signature wins and several severe losses keeps the team on the wrong side of the bubble.

Date Opponent Ranking Outcome
11/8Utah Valley86W101-77
11/11UTRGV136W85-65
11/15Montana St150W62-58
11/18Wichita St94W62-59
11/24(N)USC50L70-67
11/25(N)NC State30L81-70
12/6@Butler81W77-68
12/10Duquesne111W86-64
12/14(N)St Mary's CA32W68-67
12/20@Nevada56L81-66
12/30New Mexico45W62-53
1/3@San Diego St42L110-107
1/7Grand Canyon68L75-58
1/10Utah St25L93-68
1/13@UNLV129L89-85
1/16Colorado St93W79-73
1/20@Wyoming104W81-65
1/24Air Force347W96-54
1/27@San Jose St256W89-58
1/30@Grand Canyon68L86-69
2/3Nevada56W91-87
2/7@New Mexico45W91-90
2/13UNLV129L86-83
2/18@Utah St2520%
2/21San Jose St25694%
2/24Wyoming10475%
2/28@Fresno St12261%
3/3San Diego St4248%
3/7@Colorado St9351%